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- Not cutting your losses
- Revenge trading
- Being too stubborn to change your mind
- Ignoring extreme market conditions
- Forgetting that TA is a game of probabilities
- Blindly following other traders
- Closing thoughts
Technical analysis (TA) is one of the most used ways to analyze the financial markets. TA can be applied to essentially any financial market, whether that’s stocks, forex, gold, or cryptocurrencies.
While the basic concepts of technical analysis are relatively easy to grasp, it’s a difficult art to master. When you’re learning any new skill, it’s natural to make a lot of mistakes on the way. This can be especially harmful when it comes to trading or investing. If you are not being careful and learning from your mistakes, you risk losing a significant portion of your capital. Learning from your mistakes is great, but avoiding them as much as possible is even better.
This article will introduce you to some of the most common mistakes in technical analysis. If you’re new to trading, why not go through some technical analysis basics first?
So, what are the most common mistakes beginners make when trading with technical analysis?
1. Not cutting your losses
Let’s start with a quote from commodities trader Ed Seykota:
“The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance.”
This seems like a simple step, but it’s always good to emphasize its importance. When it comes to trading and investing, protecting your capital should always be your number one priority.
Starting out with trading can be a daunting undertaking. A solid approach to consider when you’re starting out is the following: the first step isn’t to win, it’s to not lose. This is why it can be favorable to start with smaller position sizing, or not even risk real funds. Binance Futures, for example, has a testnet where you can try out your strategies before risking your hard-earned funds. This way, you can protect your capital, and risk it only once you’re consistently producing good results.
Setting a stop-loss is simple rationality. Your trades should have an invalidation point. This is where you “bite the bullet” and accept that your trade idea was wrong. If you don’t apply this mindset to your trading, you likely won’t be doing well over the long-term. Even one bad trade can be very detrimental to your portfolio, and you might end up holding a losing bag, hoping for the market to recover.
When you’re an active trader, it’s a common mistake to think you always need to be in a trade. Trading involves a lot of analysis and a lot of, well, sitting around, patiently waiting! With some trading strategies, you may need to wait a long time to get a reliable signal to enter a trade. Some traders may enter less than three trades per year and still produce outstanding returns.
Check out this quote from trader Jesse Livermore, one of the pioneers of day trading:
“Money is made by sitting, not trading.”
Try to avoid entering a trade just for the sake of it. You don’t always have to be in a trade. In fact, in some market conditions, it’s actually more profitable to do nothing and wait for an opportunity to present itself. This way, you preserve your capital and have it ready to deploy once the good trading opportunities show up again. It’s worth keeping in mind that the opportunities will always come back, you just have to wait for them.
A similar trading mistake is an overemphasis on lower time frames. Analysis done on higher time frames will generally be more reliable than analysis done on lower time frames. As such, low time frames will produce a lot of market noise and may tempt you to enter trades more often. While there are many successful scalpers and short-term profitable traders, trading on lower time frames usually brings a bad risk/reward ratio. As a risky trading strategy, it’s certainly not recommended for beginners.
3. Revenge trading
It’s quite common to see traders trying to immediately make back a significant loss. This is what we call revenge trading. It doesn’t matter if you want to be a technical analyst, a day trader, or a swing trader — avoiding emotional decisions is crucial.
It’s easy to stay calm when things are going well, or even when you make small mistakes. But can you stay calm when things go completely wrong? Can you stick to your trading plan, even when everyone else is panicking?
Notice the word “analysis” in technical analysis. Naturally, this implies an analytical approach to the markets, right? So, why would you want to make hasty, emotional decisions in such a framework?
If you want to be among the best traders, you should be able to stay calm even after the biggest mistakes. Avoid emotional decisions, and focus on keeping a logical, analytical mindset.
Trading immediately after suffering a big loss tends to lead to even more losses. As such, some traders may not even trade at all for a period of time following a big loss. This way, they can get a fresh start and get back to trading with a clear mind.
4. Being too stubborn to change your mind
If you’d like to become a successful trader, don’t be afraid to change your mind. A lot. Market conditions can change really quickly, and one thing’s a certainty. They will keep changing. Your job as a trader is to recognize those changes and adapt to them. One strategy that works really well in a specific market environment may not work at all in another.
Let’s read what legendary trader Paul Tudor Jones had to say about his positions:
“Every day I assume every position I have is wrong.”
It’s good practice to try to take the other side of your arguments to see their potential weaknesses. This way, your investment theses (and decisions) can become more comprehensive.
This also brings up another point: cognitive biases. Biases can heavily affect your decision-making, cloud your judgment, and limit the range of possibilities you’re able to consider. Make sure to at least understand the cognitive biases that may affect your trading plans, so you can mitigate their consequences more effectively.
5. Ignoring extreme market conditions
There are times when the predictive qualities of TA become less reliable. These can be black swan events or other kinds of extreme market conditions that are heavily driven by emotion and mass psychology. Ultimately, the markets are driven by supply and demand, and there can be times when they are extremely imbalanced to one side.
Take the example of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator. Generally, if the reading is below 30, the charted asset may be considered oversold. Does this mean that it’s an immediate trade signal when the RSI goes below 30? Absolutely not! It just means that the momentum of the market is currently dictated by the seller side. In other words, it just indicates that sellers are stronger than buyers.
The RSI can reach extreme levels during extraordinary market conditions. It might even drop to single digits — close to the lowest possible reading (zero). Even such an extreme oversold reading may not necessarily mean that a reversal is imminent.
Blindly making decisions based on technical tools reaching extreme readings can lose you a lot of money. This is especially true during black swan events when the price action can be exceptionally hard to read. During times like these, the markets can keep going in one direction or the other, and no analytical tool will stop them. This is why it’s always important to consider other factors as well, and not rely on a single tool.
6. Forgetting that TA is a game of probabilities
Technical analysis doesn’t deal with absolutes. It deals with probabilities. This means that whatever technical approach you’re basing your strategies on, there’s never a guarantee that the market will behave as you expect. Maybe your analysis suggests that there’s a very high probability of the market moving up or down, but that’s still not a certainty.
You need to take this into account when you’re setting up your trading strategies. No matter how experienced you are, it’s never a great idea to think the market will follow your analysis. If you do that, you’re prone to oversizing and betting too big on one outcome, risking a big financial loss.
7. Blindly following other traders
Constantly improving your craft is essential if you want to master any skill. This is especially true when it comes to trading the financial markets. In fact, changing market conditions make it a necessity. One of the best ways to learn is to follow experienced technical analysts and traders.
However, if you’d like to become consistently good, you also need to find your own strengths and build on them. We can call this your edge, the thing that makes you different from others as a trader.
If you read many interviews with successful traders, you’ll surely notice that they’ll have quite different strategies. In fact, one strategy that works perfectly for one trader may be deemed completely unfeasible by another. There are countless ways to profit off of the markets. You just need to find which one suits your personality and trading style the best.
Entering a trade based on someone else’s analysis might work out a few times. However, if you just blindly follow other traders without understanding the underlying context, it most definitely won’t work over the long-term. This, of course, doesn’t mean that you shouldn’t follow and learn from others. The important thing is whether you agree with the trade idea and whether it fits into your trading system. You should not be blindly following other traders, even if they are experienced and reputable.
We went through some of the most fundamental mistakes you should avoid when using technical analysis. Remember, trading isn’t easy, and it’s generally more feasible to approach it with a longer-term mindset.
Becoming consistently good at trading is a process that takes time. It requires a lot of practice in refining your trading strategies and learning how to formulate your own trade ideas. This way, you can find your strengths, identify your weaknesses, and be in control of your investment and trading decisions.
Why Valorant has a strong fanbase?
What is the concept of Valorant?
Valorant is a free-to-play multiplayer strategic first-person hero shooter developed and published by Riot Games, for Microsoft Windows. The players can play as one of a set of agents, the characters that are designed with several nations and cultures in mind. As we dive into the main game mode, players are assigned as either the attacking team or the defending team with each of the teams having five players on their side. Each agent comes with a unique ability, requiring charges as well as a unique ultimate ability that requires charging through kills, deaths, or spike actions.
If you are new to Valorant and you do want to buy a fresh account for it, you can take a look at the following website as it offers good deals regarding the purchase of an account for Valorant:
Further, we will talk about why everyone loves Valorant so much and will give the reasons behind “why does this game has such a strong fanbase?”.
For a lot of crazily dedicated players, Counter-Strike: Global Offensive is considered as the highest standard for FPS titles. Valorant is being continually applauded for its impressive mechanics, its in-game economy, and its balance between individual play-making and the necessity of teamwork.
Valorant has already drawn multiple comparisons to CSGO, which is very wilful of Riot. A few of the Valorant’s lead developers either worked on CSGO or were professional CSGO players. Riot is looking to restate the success of CSGO and bring its finesse to the equation. So because there was already a huge amount of craze for CSGO among the games, Valorant successfully drew the attention of a large number of gamers towards itself. This thing helped Valorant in building a strong foundation in the gaming community.
The Upcoming big Esports:
Due to its tough foundation of players, Valorant has huge potential as an Esport. The game is endorsed by Riot, which already gives it a gigantic lead. Riot has established professional competitions for League of Legends across the world. As opposed to being a new title from a young studio, Valorant has the assistance of an Esports pioneer.
Riot has already stated its commencing plants for Valorant Esports, taking a more tolerant approach. Using a tiered structure, Riot summarizes three levels of competition with gradually increasing larger prize pools. This creates a clearer path from amateur to pro.
The new Escalation mode:
The all-new Escalation mode is similar to the "gun game" concept found in Call of Duty: Black Ops and Counter-Strike, though it is team-based rather than free-for-all with 5 players on each team. The game will randomly select 12 weapons to move through.
As with other gun game versions, the team has to get a specific amount of kills to proceed to the next weapon and the weapons get gradually worse as the team moves through them. There are two winning conditions, one team needs to get through those levels, or if one team is on a higher level than the opposing team within 10 minutes. The players’ community is loving this new addition to the game.
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said sanctions were imposed on two Iranian officials in connection with human rights violations.
We are talking about sanctions against Ali Hemmatian and Massoud Sardari. They are followers of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. They are accused of involvement in arbitrary detention, torture and "other forms of inhuman treatment of political prisoners and persons detained during the protests that took place in Iran in 2019 and 2020."
The sanctions stipulate that these officials and their family members are now barred from entering the United States.
Indianapolis cops are requesting aid in locating an individual charge with the case of rape.
As per Indianapolis Met sheriff's dept. records, inspectors are seeking Jaquis Brown after a order was released on Apr one, accusing him of rape.
Anybody having any information should contact the Indianapolis cop. The name of the tipster would not be disclosed by the police.
Weekend in the Circle county was very brutal. 7 firings are being investigated by police — 2 people died.
Suspect 29 was taken into custody in the first attack. That sent a woman to the medical facility at about midnight. The state of the victim is unclear.
Sat night, another lady was shot. That was at approximately eight p.m. On the very northern coast of Indy. She was admitted in serious condition to surgery. No suspect details are yet known.
Authorities reacted Sunday afternoon to 2 fatal shootings. Near 11:45 pm a guy was fired in his house on Michigan Road. He'd been taken to the medical facility where he passed away.
Hours later, another person fired in a driveway. He was declared dead at the spot.
"I realize that homicide detectives are interrogating the witnesses. I will request everyone in the neighborhood to contact the homicide department this morning. Any detail you provide will help the police solve this incident, "stated William Young, I.M.P.D Public Affairs Agent.
In only 2 hrs on the weekend night the cops reacted to 3 more incidents. They all took place in various parts of the city.
2 people in stable condition whereas 1 person was admitted in serious condition.
Cops so far haven't unveiled any details about last night firing.
1 individual has killed after a collision of 3 vehicles on Sat night.
The collision occurred shortly before eight o'clock at night, at 38th St & Washington Blvd.
I.M.P.D informs 13-News that it seemed a vehicle was running a red signal that contributed to the crash.
No further detail has been reported about any potential casualties within the three cars.
The story is developing.
Severe obesity is a major risk factor for complications with COVID-19, so physicians around the world are paying close attention to such patients during a pandemic. U.S. researchers have found that being overweight can also increase the risk of coronavirus infection.
In a new study, researchers at the University of Miami evaluated the effect of obesity on the production of IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. The authors measured the level of antibodies in patients with COVID-19 and people from the control group, which included uninfected participants.
The study authors found that in infected people, the level of antibodies against coronavirus was negatively associated with body mass index (BMI). That is, in obese people this level was lower than in those whose weight was normal.