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2 charts estimate the true scope of the US's coronavirus infections and deaths. The portrait is grim. - Business Insider India
Coronavirus cases and deaths are undercounted in the US, primarily due to a lack of testing at the beginning of the outbreak. Several recent studies estimate
No matter how you slice it, coronavirus cases and deaths are severely underreported in the US. "The debate is by how much are cases and deaths undercounted," Dr. Howard Koh, a professor at the Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, told Business Insider. "We probably won't know the real number of deaths and numbers infected until this is all over." Over the last several months, however, researchers have attempted to model and estimate the true scale of the outbreak. Advertisement Robert Redfield, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), said on June 25 that the real number of Americans who've gotten the coronavirus is probably 10 times higher than the agency's official count. "Our best estimate right now is that for every case that's reported, there actually are 10 other infections," he said. By that day, the US had recorded 2.3 million cases. Redfield's assessment would make the true number 23 million. MIT researchers, similarly, calculated that by June 18, around 17.5 million people in the US had gotten COVID-19 — around eight times the official number on that date. And a study published in the journal Science found that the US probably saw around 8.7 million coronavirus cases in the last three weeks of March alone, though only 100,000 were officially counted during that time. Why the US numbers are off The primary reason US numbers are so low is that the country's testing capacity was severely hampered at the beginning of the pandemic. The CDC initially distributed faulty tests, then lingering shortages of accurate tests meant that only patients with severe symptoms were eligible. Advertisement Plus, many people with mild or asymptomatic cases are unlikely to seek out a test at all. "During the early part of the pandemic, laboratory-confirmed cases captured only an estimated 10% to 15% of all infections," the authors of a recent study estimating the US's true death toll wrote. "As the pandemic has progressed, official statistics have become better aligned with excess mortality estimates, perhaps due to enhanced testing and increased recognition of the clinical features of COVID-19." The country is now testing far more widely: around 62 out of every 100,000 people per day. That means more cases are being diagnosed and reported than in March and April. Advertisement To estimate cases that were missed during the early phase of the US outbreak, researchers have taken varying approaches. The MIT researchers' model assumed a true infection rate of around 5.3%, and extrapolated from there. The study published in Science analyzed reports of flu-like illnesses from the CDC's influenza surveillance system. They found that many states reported a surge of illnesses in March — about 2.8 million — that weren't attributable to the flu or seasonal respiratory diseases. The researchers think most of those were coronavirus cases. That study also suggested that only one-third of coronavirus patients in the US sought medical care in the first place, which would mean the actual surge of coronavirus cases was likely three times larger than those extra flu-like cases. That's how they arrived at an estimate of 8.7 million cases in March, instead of the 100,000 officially documented during that time. A quarter or more of coronavirus deaths may not have been counted Reported deaths also fall short of real-life tallies, albeit by a smaller margin. Advertisement Estimates from three sources — MIT, a July 1 study published in the Journal of the American Medical Association, and The New York Times — suggest that actual coronavirus deaths could be 23% to 44% higher than reported. The MIT researchers estimated that the coronavirus case fatality rate was around 1.6% in the US as of June 18. That means deaths may have reached 174,000 by that time. About 120,300 were officially reported.Advertisement Meanwhile, a study in the Journal of the American Medical Association analyzed excess deaths from March 1 to May 30 that couldn't be attributed to the flu, and found that the US may have seen around 122,300 COVID-19 deaths. Around 95,200 coronavirus deaths were recorded during those three months. That would suggest the actual death toll was 28% higher than the reported figure. Similarly, a New York Times analysis of excess deaths from March 15 to June 6 found 113,800 more deaths than expected based on the CDC's historical trends. Only 92,600 of those deaths were recorded as COVID-19 fatalities, leaving 21,200 unaccounted for. Some coronavirus deaths could still be counted It's still possible that some excess deaths will eventually be added to official numbers as states revise death certificates or submit new ones to the CDC. Under normal circumstances, death tallies from the CDC can take up to eight weeks to be reported. Death counts for COVID-19 are likely to take even longer.Advertisement But some deaths will likely never factor into the official total. "There are a lot of deaths that we probably will never know if they were coronavirus deaths or not," Elizabeth Halloran, a biostatistician at Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and University of Washington, previously told Business Insider. The challenge of keeping an accurate record of coronavirus cases and deaths is likely to be exacerbated by flu season in the fall. Models from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) suggest that the US could see more than 200,000 additional coronavirus deaths from now to November.Advertisement
How to change your signature in Yahoo Mail and update your contact information for recipients - Business Insider India
To change your Yahoo Mail signature, you'll have to follow a similar process to adding a signature for the first time. You can change your signature in Yahoo
Once you know how to add a signature in Yahoo Mail, it's also essential to understand how to edit it. If any of the details you've included in your signature have changed — or if you don't like Yahoo Mail's default message for mobile — you'll want to update it as you see fit. Here's how to change your Yahoo Mail signature on mobile and desktop.Advertisement Check out the products mentioned in this article: How to change your signature on Yahoo Mail's mobile app 1. Open the Yahoo Mail app. 2. Tap on the profile icon in the top left. 3. Choose "Settings." 4. Scroll down to the "General" section and select "Signature." 5. Tap on the text box below your email address and begin editing.Advertisement 6. Tap the back arrow in the top left corner of your screen to save your new signature. How to change your signature on Yahoo Mail's website 1. Go to Yahoo Mail and sign in. Advertisement 2. Click "Settings." 3. A pop-up will appear under "Settings." Choose "More Settings." Advertisement 4. Select "Mailboxes." 5. Click on the account you'd like to add a signature for. Advertisement 6. Choose the text box below "Signature" and begin editing. 7. Select "Save."Advertisement
70 coronavirus test sites were destroyed during George Floyd protests, which US officials worry could lead to - Business Insider India
Seventy coronavirus test sites have been destroyed during US protests against George Floyd's death, leaving White House officials fearing a spike in infections.
Seventy coronavirus testing sites have been destroyed during George Floyd protests , leaving the top US COVID-19 official warning of a spike in infections, The Daily Beast reported. In leaked audio, Dr Deborah Birx, the White House's coronavirus response coordinator, told Vice President Mike Pence and state governors that testing has subsequently dipped, The Daily Beast reported. "Scramble now to make sure there is testing available in urban areas," Birx reportedly said on Monday.Advertisement The damage meant there was a drop in testing numbers, which Pence said "is a concern" and "an issue our team is following." It is not clear which sites were destroyed and in which cities. Birx expressed concern that because protesters were shouting so much, that could "negate the health benefits of wearing a mask," The Daily Beast also reported. In a separate call with governors and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) on June 3, Birx said protests would likely lead to a spike in infections. "This could result in a fight over the next two weeks," she said, according to audio of that meeting, also leaked to The Daily Beast.Advertisement Birx also told governors it was "absolutely critical" that law enforcement who worked at the protests but did not wear masks get tested as well. Protests against racism and police brutality that started on May 25 after the killing of George Floyd by a white police officer have entered their third week and spread around the globe.Advertisement Tens of thousands of people marched, close together and wearing masks, in hundreds of towns and cities across the US. Dr Anthony Fauci, the US' top infectious disease expert, warned on Tuesday that the coronavirus outbreak "isn't over."
Vaccine and coronavirus skeptics packed into a hotel for a conference over Memorial Day weekend, defying guide - Business Insider India
About 200 vaccine and coronavirus skeptics gathered in a North Carolina hotel for a conference over Memorial Day weekend. Attendees did not wear masks, practice
As many Americans weighed the risks of going to the beach and backyard barbecues over Memorial Day weekend, hundreds of coronavirus and vaccine skeptics gathered in a Charlotte, North Carolina, hotel. "The Advanced Medicine Conference" attracted about 200 nonconventional medicine practitioners, researchers, anti-vaccine advocates, and members of the public, based on the best estimates of Business Insider Today, which sent a videographer to help conduct interviews. Very few attendees wore masks, and the group didn't comply with local guidelines to limit group gatherings to 10 people, leading to police enforcement. Advertisement Del Bigtree, CEO of the anti-vaccination group Informed Consent Action Network and a conference speaker, told BI Today's Katie Nixdorf that he wanted attend the event in person to support the conference organizer's desire to "make a statement that we are not afraid of this and that we stand in the real science." The conference marketed itself to people as "seeking the truth" The second annual conference marketed itself toward people "who are seeking the truth, who wish to learn the secret to not only achieving optimum health but who want to know the secret to all aspects of life, who are on the evolutionary path to greater awareness and insight and wish to take the next leap forward," according to its website. It was organized by Dr. Rashid Buttar, an osteopathic physician and conspiracy theorist whose videos incorrectly claiming the coronavirus is linked to 5G technology have been repeatedly removed by Facebook and YouTube for spreading misinformation. Judy Mikovits, the discredited doctor who was recently in the conspiratorial "documentary" Plandemic, was also slated as a featured speaker, though it's unclear if she showed up. The speakers promoted alternative medicine practices, such as restorative breathing and herbal medicine, and expressed their concerns about the safety of a possible coronavirus vaccine. Advertisement "The entire premise behind the conference is to show from a philosophical standpoint and from a scientific standpoint, the nuances that are being ignored, the advances in science that are being ignored by mainstream medicine," Buttar told BI Today. The gathering defied guidelines and led to police enforcement The worst coronavirus clusters around the US have been tied to places that force people into close quarters for extended periods, like nursing homes, correctional facilities, and meatpacking plants. Religious services, choir practices, and birthday parties have been dubbed "super-spreader" events too.Advertisement "The farther away you are and the shorter duration of contact between you and other people means you get less efficient virus transmission," William Schaffner, an infectious-disease expert at Vanderbilt University, previously told Business Insider. Still, attendees gathered indoors, largely without masks or practicing social distancing. According to the Embassy Suites where the conference was held, organizers had agreed prior to the conference to limit each room to 10 people, per local guidelines. —Dr Rashid A Buttar, FAAPM, FACAM, FAAIM (@DrButtar) May 26, 2020 Buttar told BI Today the event didn't have to comply with local restrictions since the governor's order allowed exceptions for health, safety, and education. He also called on the First Amendment right to assemble.Advertisement (The executive order, which forbids mass gatherings — meaning more than 10 people in a single space — states that "Mass Gatherings do not include gatherings for health and safety, to look for and obtain goods and services, for work, for worship, or exercise of First Amendment rights, or for receiving governmental services.") The Embassy Suites eventually called in the local police department, hotel manager Kevin Plucker, told WCNC Charlotte in a statement. History was made yesterday. Today topped the weekend. From what I understand, this was the only conference in the entire US this weekend and definitely the only medical conference in the entire US. We may have actually been the only conference anywhere in the country this entire month. On Thursday night, on a live video, I told people I didn’t know if the event was going to take place. I told them I didn’t want them to come and not be able to attend due to idiotic and draconian restrictions in meetings (decreased to 10 people or less) despite contradictory relaxation of orders in industries like church’s and restaurants. On Friday, we discovered the #advancedmedicine conference had been intentionally sabotaged over the last two weeks with people being told the conference has been canceled. On Saturday morning, the venue tried to prevent us from entering despite us having a contract in hand. We then learned the governors office had contacted the hotel after a whistleblower revealed the governors office of North Carolina wanted to make sure our conference did NOT take place. We will be talking to attorneys. Did the North Carolina governor commit a crime? Regardless, they failed to stop us. We had 256 people that arrived from all over the world… literally!!! People came from Peru, New Zealand, Spain, Italy, Ukraine, Latvia, Poland, Canada, South Africa, Jamaica and many other countries. Dozens and dozens of people came from New York to California, from Chicago IL, and Philadelphia, PA to Dallas TX to San Diego CA. They came from everywhere. They came despite the words I said. They came because they did not listen with their ears. They listened with their hearts. They all said the same thing… They didn’t care if it was going to be canceled. They had to be here! I thank you from the depths of my heart for hearing the call! Make plans now for Memorial Day weekend, 2021. Watch for videos that will be released over the next few days. #covid19 #covidconspiracy #corona #patriots #patriot #patriotic #patrioticnation #DrButtar #AHEADMAP #AdvancedMedicine #IADFW #Fitness #Longevity #livelonger #livehealthy #power #facts #knowledge #livefree #wechangetheworld A post shared by Dr. Rashid A. Buttar (@drbuttar) on May 25, 2020 at 12:00am PDTMay 25, 2020 at 12:00am PDT "We were in constant touch with this professional organization about changing COVID guidelines leading up to their arrival, yet they still chose to have their group meeting and agreed to the terms about number of people allowed in each room," he wrote. "On Saturday, when it became clear their attendees were not respecting social distancing requirements, we called CMPD to help us enforce it, which they did. The safety of all hotel guests is always our priority, even more so during the COVID-19 crisis."Advertisement Read the original article on Business Insider